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From The Horse's Mouth

This section of the website features observations about the Thoroughbred racing and breeding industry written by Thoroughbred Information Agency (TIA) and www.thoroughbredinfo.com President Lisa Groothedde and Vice President Rudi Groothedde. 

Blog entries dated prior to November 1, 2008 were written by TIA founder and former owner Don Engel, who established this website in 1997.

Do you have an opinion to share about this blog, or any other racing-related topic? We want to hear from you! P
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MARCH 23, 2009

Who will be on top in 2009?

Santa Anita Park is gearing up to host their first 2-year-old race of the year this week, and that means it is time once again for Thoroughbred Information Agency’s California Freshman Sire Contest!

 

Created in 2003 by TIA founder Don Engel, this annual contest offers a fun (and profitable!) way for www.thoroughbredinfo.com visitors to predict the success of the newest generation of California stallions whose runners will make their racing debut this year.

 

We have made some changes to the contest this year, and we have introduced a whole new website section for all of the details here.

  • First, and foremost, there will no longer be a cost to enter the contest. Last year, entries cost $25 per person.
  • We are spreading the wealth. In previous editions, only the Grand Prize winner walked away with all the loot. Starting this year, we will be giving away multiple prizes to the contestants who finish in first, second, third, fourth and fifth place overall.
  • Instead of a single cash-only prize, we have worked with our fantastic contest sponsors — Del Mar Thoroughbred Club, Santa Anita Park and Fairplex Park — to offer unique destination prizes to these Southern California racetracks, as well as the California Thoroughbred Breeders Association and “Thoroughbred Times,” who are once again generously donating free copies of their respected publications. In addition, we are offering several cash prizes from TIA. In all, there is more than $1,000 in cash and prizes available this year.
  • Another tweak we have made is to allow all first-crop stallions who are reported as standing in California in 2009 to be eligible, and not just those stallions who initiated their breeding careers here. This change gives participants more horses to choose from, while adding another layer of complexity to the guessing game.
  • Finally, the most important change we are announcing this year is that the entire contest has been renamed the Don Engel California Freshman Sire Contest in honor of its founder, who retired last fall after serving the Thoroughbred industry with distinction for nearly 50 years, and without whom Thoroughbred Information Agency and www.thoroughbredinfo.com would not exist. He will no doubt be embarrassed to accept this kind of permanent recognition, but he's going to get it anyway! Thank you, Don.

 

Everyone is invited to participate — and tell your friends about it, too! All prizes are transferable, so, if you win one of our top five prizes, you are welcome to give it to a friend or client. We couldn’t think of a better way to introduce someone new to the sport of horse racing, or to thank a longtime client for their business.

 

Entries are due by noon on Thursday, March 26, just one hour before the Santa Anita starting gate opens for the season’s first juvenile race in Southern California. Thank you for entering, and good luck!

 

Sign up now for the 2009 Don Engel California Freshman Sire Contest.

JANUARY 24, 2009

As a horse racing journalist, I consider my annual vote in the Eclipse Awards to be one of my greatest professional privileges. Since the 2008 trophies are scheduled to be handed out in Florida on Monday evening, I thought it would be fun to offer a peek at my ballot, and the thought process I used to determine my personal slate of winners.


Two-Year-Old Colt/Gelding: Midshipman

Second Choice: Vineyard Haven

Third Choice: Square Eddie

 

Honorable Mention: Street Hero

When the field for the 2008 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) streamed onto the track at Santa Anita for their post parade, I sent my husband straight to the betting window. Midshipman looked like a man against boys out there, and he ran to his appearance. I only hope he doesn’t disappear now that he’s in Dubai, like so many other promising 2-year-olds have done in the past (See: Etched, 2008).

 


Two-Year-Old Filly: Stardom Bound

Second Choice: Mani Bhavan

Third Choice: Maram

 

Honorable Mention: Several contenders, but Heart Shaped impressed me the most

 

Stardom Bound is a freak. And I can’t wait to see what Bobby Frankel can do with her in the Las Virgenes (G1) next month.



Three-Year-Old Colt/Gelding: Big Brown

Second Choice: Raven’s Pass

Third Choice: Colonel John

 

Honorable Mention: Conduit (Ire)

 

Oh, Colonel. You did almost everything I wanted you to do last year. Almost.

 

You won the West Coast’s biggest springtime 3-year-old race on all-weather in the Santa Anita Derby (G1), the East Coast’s biggest summertime 3-year-old race on dirt in the Travers (G1), and you didn’t disgrace yourself after Bob Black Jack took you out when the gates opened for the Kentucky Derby (G1). So there I was, all ready to defy popular opinion and put you ahead of Big Brown on my year-end ballot, but then you had to go and run poorly in the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1), and then even worse against your own age group in the Malibu (G1).

 

That’s okay. I still love you.

 

Three-Year-Old Filly: Music Note

Second Choice: Goldikova (Ire)

Third Choice: Indian Blessing


Honorable Mention: Eight Belles, Proud Spell, Pure Clan, Ariege

 

Without a doubt, the toughest category this year. I will be thrilled if any one of my top three choices is honored with an Eclipse, although I doubt any of them will be.

 

In my view, Music Note sealed her bid when she outran her talented elders, such as Ginger Punch and Hystericalady, in the loaded Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1), ultimately finishing third behind the mighty Zenyatta (yes, I said Distaff — not Ladies’ Classic). Goldikova ran the older boys off their feet in the Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1), on top of her smashing European campaign, and Indian Blessing…well, she’s Indian Blessing, and she’s as honest as they come, with nine wins and three seconds from 12 lifetime starts.

 

Several other fine females didn’t make it on my final ballot. Eight Belles beat every single filly that faced her during her 2008 run-up to the Kentucky Derby, and then she beat 18 colts on the day she died. She was amazing. Grade 1 winners Pure Clan and Ariege are personal favorites, because of their versatility. And Kentucky Oaks (G1) winner Proud Spell is to be admired for her tough campaign, but she lost to Music Note by a wider margin (3 ½ lengths) than Music Note lost to her (head-bob) in their two meetings. Proud Spell also didn’t show up for the year-end championship race, so she loses points on that issue. However, she will still likely get the Eclipse.

 

 

Older Male: Curlin

Second Choice: Well Armed

Third Choice: Heatseeker (Ire)

 

Honorable Mention: Einstein (Brz), Go Between

 

For those who still claim there is not an East Coast bias in horse racing, please explain to me how Commentator (G1 win, G2 win, G1 second, G2 third) ended up among the top three Eclipse Award finalists for this category, while the West Coasters Well Armed (G1 win, two G2 wins, G1 second, G1 third, G2 second) and Heatseeker (G1 win, G2 win, two G2 seconds, G2 third) did not…?


Older Filly/Mare: Zenyatta

Second Choice: Cocoa Beach (Chi)

Third Choice: Ginger Punch

 

Honorable Mention: Nashoba’s Key

 

Simply put, Zenyatta is the most talented racehorse I have ever had the pleasure of seeing in person. When she gets that big frame rolling, and those long ears flicked forward, it’s sayonara time, baby.

 

A month after the Breeders’ Cup, “Zenny” was further flattered by runner-up Cocoa Beach’s facile victory in the talent-filled Matriarch (G1). Much respect also to 2007 Eclipse Champion Ginger Punch for her illustrious career.

 

The loss of California-bred Nashoba’s Key was immensely sad to her many fans, especially here in her home state. That’s one of the reasons why we’ve decided to personally immortalize her, above all others, in our new company logo for TIA, which we’ll introduce on our homepage in February.

 

 

Male Sprinter: Street Boss

Second Choice: Midnight Lute

Third Choice: Benny the Bull

 

Honorable Mention: Bob Black Jack

 

Last year, Street Boss danced every dance — except one. Unfortunately for him, “that one” happened to take place in front of a worldwide audience on Breeders’ Cup day, which means he faces an uphill battle in sprinting away with the trophy. Midnight Lute deserves credit for his incredible effort in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1), but if a horse who runs only twice in 12 months for a Grade 1 win and a Grade 2 10th (10th!) gets an Eclipse Award, I think it shows there are serious cracks in the foundation of the awards themselves, which are supposed to honor racing achievements from all year, and not just one day.

 

 

Female Sprinter: Indian Blessing

Second Choice: Ventura

Third Choice: Intangaroo

 

Honorable Mention: Zaftig

 

In another tough category, reigning Eclipse champion Indian Blessing deserves a second award for another stellar year. If her La Brea Stakes (G1) win — her sixth graded victory of 2008 — had occurred earlier in the year, rather than in late December, when many Eclipse voters had likely already submitted their ballots due to the holidays, she would have had a better shot at winning over the impressive Ventura.

 

 

Male Turf Horse: Einstein (Brz)

Second Choice: Conduit (Ire)

Third Choice: Dancing Forever

 

Honorable Mention: Daytona (Ire), just because I’m fond of him

 

Einstein is Mr. Reliable, and deserves to take this category for 2008. But it was a motley bunch last year, wasn’t it?

 

 

Female Turf Horse: Goldikova (Ire)

Second Choice: Forever Together

Third Choice: Wait a While

 

Honorable Mention: Cocoa Beach (Chi), Black Mamba (NZ)

 

Wow! If Goldikova was this good against our best turf males, then exactly how good was Zarkava, who beat her — twice?

 

 

Steeplechase: Good Night Shirt

Second Choice: Be Certain

Third Choice: Sovereign Duty

 

Honorable Mention: Dark Equation

 

I am not a regular fan of steeplechasing, but even I know that Good Night Shirt is a no-brainer here.

 

 

Trainer: Steve Asmussen

Second Choice: Todd Pletcher

Third Choice: John Shirreffs

 

Dishonorable Mention: Rick Dutrow, for his sexist comments about the quality of female trainers and female Thoroughbreds alike during last year’s Triple Crown media frenzy. Hey, Rick: Did you notice that 3-year-old filly who ran right past your boy Kip Deville in the Breeders’ Cup Mile?

 

Back on topic, if Steve Asmussen does not win this Eclipse Award after the record-breaking year he had, not to mention his expert management of his once-in-a-lifetime horse, Curlin, then he never will.

 

 

Apprentice Jockey: Abstain

 

I didn’t recognize any of these riders, so I didn’t feel it was my place to judge them. Congratulations to the winner!



Jockey: Garrett Gomez

Second Choice: Rafael Bejarano

Third Choice: Alan Garcia

 

Honorable Mention: Mike Smith

 

I just know my second and third choices will have Eclipse Awards of their very own some day. But how can they compete against the red-hot Gomez?

 

The man literally crashes to the turf when his 2-year-old tries to hurdle the inside rail — breaking several teeth, suffering obvious cuts and bruises and being carried off the track without any feeling in his legs — on Saturday, then he climbs back in the irons and wins two races on Monday after undergoing dental surgery on Sunday. You just can’t compete with that kind of ambition.



Breeder: Stonerside Stable

Second Choice: WinStar Farm

Third Choice: Adena Springs

 

Honorable Mention: Juddmonte Farms

 

One final round of applause for the Texas-owned Stonerside Stable, a classy operation which has bowed out of the game. Enjoying two impressive Breeders’ Cup winners on the same day is not a bad way to go out, actually.

 

 

Owner: Stronach Stables

Second Choice: IEAH Stables

Third Choice: Jerry and Ann Moss

 

Honorable Mention: Jess Jackson/Stonestreet Stables

 

This was a tough call. IEAH had a fantastic year, with Big Brown and seven other Grade 1 winners photographed in their silks; the Mosses’ quality program exhibited itself through the likes of Zenyatta, Tiago, Madeo and others; and Jess Jackson reminded us all of the glorious era of Thoroughbred racing, back when the best horses competed past the age of 3. But Frank Stronach’s massive operation gets the nod from me by sheer statistical analysis.

 

Plus, I appreciate the way he keeps his top Adena racemares (Ginger Punch, Sugar Swirl, etc.) in training, year after year.

 

 

Horse of the Year: Zenyatta

Second Choice: Curlin

Third Choice: Big Brown

 

Honorable Mention: Indian Blessing

 

The girls were better last year, and Zenyatta beat them all. She remains perfect. ‘Nuff said.

JANUARY 9, 2009

Congratulations to Edward Freeman, the official winner of our 2008 California Freshman Sire Contest!

Edward will now receive a $600 winner's check, along with a one-year subscription to "The California Thoroughbred", the award-winning magazine published by California Thoroughbred Breeders Association, and a copy of "The Original 2009 Thoroughbred Times Racing Almanac", an extremely useful publication compiled by "Thoroughbred Times".

How appropriate that, in a Thoroughbred racing contest, we had an exciting, three-way photo finish at the end! Edward won by a whisker in a tiebreaker with Russell Drake and Linda Vetter, with Leigh Ann Howard, Larry Stevens and Debbie Winick also hitting the toteboard.

Don Engel reports that putting the $600 check in the mail to Edward was "the final act of my business career". Now you can fully enjoy your retirement (and your tennis matches) with a job well done, Don!

Thank you to everyone who participated in last year's contest, and thanks also to our wonderful sponsors for providing the prizes.

We will announce the rules and entry procedures for our 2009 Freshman Sire Contest in a few months. There will be some major upgrades (such as no entry fees required!), so be sure to check back with us so you can get your entry in on time.

Happy New Year!

NOVEMBER 1, 2008

Hello, and welcome to the new home of Thoroughbred Information Agency (TIA) and www.thoroughbredinfo.com!

When it came to our attention in August that the original founder of TIA, Don Engel, had decided to retire and discontinue this website (also known as The Thoroughbred Showcase of the West), we knew, as longtime fans of the site, that we had to do something. So, we decided to make a strong commitment to our industry by purchasing the company and website from Don and his wife, Jean, and by pledging to operate the website at the same level of excellence that Don has achieved throughout the years.

Starting today, we are the new owners and managers of Thoroughbred Information Agency and www.thoroughbredinfo.com. You can read about our background here, in addition to a complete history of the company and website.

You have probably noticed that we have adopted a new look for the website. We are busy working to improve the site, so we can offer more services to our clients and visitors by utilizing high-tech advances and expanding certain sections. During this transitional stage of ongoing, "behind-the-scenes" work, we appreciate your patience while we upgrade the site, page by page. If you encounter any errors, incorrect links or any other major problems in the meantime, please let us know.

If you are a current client with a custom-built Showcase website, you can rest assured that the personal service you have experienced through Don will not change, and that the specific website address that you are currently publishing for your stallion, farm or business will remain the same. That's important to know as publishing deadlines for the various 2009 stallion and farm directories are already upon us.

If you are not a current client, we hope you will consider joining our stable of Thoroughbred stallion, farm and business owners who benefit from the international exposure this website provides. On average, our site receives more than 15,000 unique visitors each month, and 180,000 visitors each year. By reading our daily, exclusive Showcase updates, these visitors have access to the internet's most current, up-to-date information about the Thoroughbred breeding and racing industry in the Western Region of the United States. Our site also features a friendly community of horsemen and horsewomen who regularly share their opinions and concerns about the industry in our popular "Voices" section.

We hope you enjoy the enhanced website. Thanks to Don's vision, we believe you will not find a better, more efficient online advertising resource for your Thoroughbred stallion, farm or business than www.thoroughbredinfo.com.

Don has certainly left big shoes to fill. We wish him and Jean well in retirement, and we hope they will continue to check in on the website from time to time, to keep us all informed of their post-TIA pursuits, and to keep us on our toes!

Thank you for your support of www.thoroughbredinfo.com. We look forward to getting to know you, and to offering you the best possible online advertising venue for your stallions, farms, products and services. For less than $1 per day, the price of having your own website hosted and maintained at www.thoroughbredinfo.com cannot be beat.

Lisa Groothedde & Thoroughbred Information Agency

OCTOBER 30, 2008

The Barretts mixed sale this week produced these results from 436 horses through the ring: 141 no-bids (nobody bid the upset price of $1,000), 9 others bought back by a consignor at $1,000 (the same as a no-bid), 145 others that got a final bid of less than $2,000. That's 295 horses that couldn't draw a $2,000 bid--68.8% of the horses that went through the ring. Under $2,000.

This was the worst sale that I can remember. It was probably the worst in California history. Surely it is proof that the California breeding industry is in serious trouble. Moribund, maybe.

I don't know how breeding industries go about dying. I've never seen it happen. Maybe, like General Douglas MacArthur's old soldiers, they never die. They just fade away. Sorry to leave you-all in such bad shape, but I've got to move on.

Don Engel

OCTOBER 29, 2008

We're still a few days from the end of the month, but I wanted to have one more look at our California Freshman Sire Contest before I turn the Showcase over to new management on November 1.

Covering racing through Tuesday, the leader is still Momentum and Cat Dreams is still second, but Popular has taken a slender edge over Marino Marini for third place.

But that hasn't displaced our long-time leader in the contest, who picked Momentum, Cat Dreams, and Marino Marini to finish 1-2-3, because nobody else put Momentum and Cat Dreams first and second. Four other contestants put Momentum on top, but two had Marino Marini second, one had Redattore (Brz) second, and one had Popular second.

After Tuesday's racing, Momentum had earned $143,800, Cat Dreams $98,827, Popular $71,150, and Marino Marini $70,385. Redattore (Brz) is pretty far back in fourth place, with $34,434. With two months of racing left and big-purse races for 2-year-olds remaining, there'll be plenty of opportunities for some of the other sires to climb up in a hurry. But up to now, none of the freshman sires have shown us a runner good enough to shake things up.

Your new host, Lisa Groothedde, tells me that she definitely wants to continue the contest, so she'll pick up where I'm leaving off.

In case the competitors are worried, I have promised to be responsible for paying the $500 first prize, so that's guaranteed. I've put the money aside, and when the last race of 2008 has been run, I'll mail the final check of my business career. Couldn't go to a more deserving person.

OCTOBER 27, 2008

     The CHRB has permanently revoked the jockey's license of the pitiable Patrick Valenzuela. He'll never again be able to ride in California.
     Yet he continues to ride in Louisiana. How can that be?
     The answer is that unless two states have reciprocity agreements to honor each other's rulings, those rulings don't carry from one state to another. There is no national reciprocity arrangement.
     So Valenzuela is banished from California racing but is licensed and in good standing in any state--such as Louisiana--that doesn't have a reciprocity agreement with California.
     Doesn't seem quite right, but that's the way it is.

OCTOBER 26, 2008

From CTBA board member Sue Greene:

"I guess I am just unaware of all the inner workings of things, but I am surprised that other board members haven't responded with some suggestions or ideas in your open forum. I certainly can't fix the mess we are all in by myself, and I don't claim to hold the answers, either.

"I am hopeful that some of the newer ideas that are reviving horse racing or at least assisting it can be incorporated into our California program, like the Magic Million in Australia. I do know that CTBA and TOC are working together to try and get purses increased.

"If I understand this whole thing (and I could be totally wrong), the CTBA can't fix this mess without the help of TOC and some help from our legislators. Long story short: more members need to be vocal, not just with CTBA but TOC and their legislators to help us as a community try and put horse racing as an agribusiness back on track. Just my small two cents."

Good to see that somebody is aware that breeders are in trouble.

OCTOBER 22, 2008

     So far, I've had no response to my proposal for saving the California Thoroughbred breeding industry. When and if I receive any, I'll pass them on. But what will be will be, and I can't keep after it. I don't do campaigns.
     I had hoped that at the very least my proposal would generate a discussion of possible solutions to the industry's present problems. But the CTBA is behaving exactly like the teenager who, asked to discuss his problems, just looks away and refuses to talk.
     But I have just nine more days of involvement in the Thoroughbred business before the Showcase passes into younger hands and I move into retirement. I hope I'll see something good happen before I go, but I don't want to spend my last days begging people to save themselves, either my way or their way.
     From here, the people who can put my proposed plan into effect will either do it or they won't. Naturally, I hope they'll do something, but all I can do is watch and hope.
     For nine more days. After that, whatever happens won't affect me at all.

OCTOBER 21, 2008

     In the fall of 2002, the CTBA took $600,000 of the money earmarked by state law for purses for California-bred races and committed it to a new racing extravaganza called the Sunshine Millions, scheduled for its inaugural running in January, 2003.
     The objective was to increase the desirability--and, therefore the value--of Cal-bred racehorses. Purses totaling $3,600,000 were to be offered for eight races, with the only horses eligible to compete those bred in California and Florida.
     California and Florida breeders provided $600,000 each. The rest of the purse money came from tracks and owner purse funds.
     A change in state law was necessary to make Florida-breds eligible to win that California incentive money, but the CTBA had no trouble arranging that.
     In the six runnings of the Millions, more of that pot of gold has been won by Florida-breds than by California-breds, but the chance to run for purses ranging from $1,000,000 to $250,000 and not have to face Kentucky-breds or any other outsiders has been enormously appealing.
     After six years and diversion of $3,600,000 from races restricted only to Cal-breds, the investment is considered a success. According to CTBA general manager, the Millions have "elevated the value and demand for quality Cal-breds." 
     The "quality" element is important, because the state law authorizing the incentive program says it's "to encourage agriculture and the breeding of higher quality horses in the state."
     With breeder awards earned by horses running third in the cheapest races at Ferndale, it's legitimate to ask whether the letter of the law is being followed under the present system.
     Those six years have served as a pilot program testing the hypothesis that offering big purses for races restricted to Cal-breds increases demand for the produce of California breeders. There's no question that the hypothesis has been proved.
     It follows logically if buyers are willing to pay more for Cal-breds to compete for those huge Millions purses, they will certainly pay as much and probably more for Cal-breds to run for big purses in races open only to Cal-breds.
     With lack of demand devastating the California breeding industry, the solution is clear, certified by six years of what has amounted to a pilot program testing the hypothesis.
     There isn't enough money in the Cal-bred race fund to provide those big purses. In 2007, the total of purses for races restricted to Cal-breds was slightly more than $17,000,000, and that included the Millions money. 
     But without increasing the amount of money available for races restricted to Cal-breds, nothing changes.
     But add between $12,000,000 and $13,000,000 to that $17,000,000 and there's close to $30,000,000 for purse supplements in those restricted races. If that wouldn't increase demand for Cal-breds, there's no hope.
     This isn't a case of weighing that plan against the present one, with the $12,000,000 to $13,000,000 spread among breeder awards, stallion awards, and owner premiums. 
     There's nothing to weigh. The present program is a failure, and the California breeding industry is dying.
     A year ago I proposed the same change and received positive responses, but not from the CTBA. Not a word from the CTBA. But the situation wasn't as desperate a year ago as it is now. 
     It's safe to say that the CTBA has no plan for saving its industry, but if nothing is done, it may not take long for there to be no industry.
     There's no need for me to explain the reasoning behind my proposal. At least, not again. If you click here, you'll find a fully-reasoned explanation. It's laid out in five Notebook entries. Please read them all, in sequence. But be sure to read them, because they are an essential part of this whole presentation.
     After that, answer this question: If not this, what?
     Somebody has to think about this. I'm trying to do my part.

OCTOBER 20, 2008

     The Thoroughbred breeding industry in California is in serious trouble, steadily shrinking, with its members losing both money and hope.
     Judging from the meager response to my request for ideas from members of the CTBA board of directors, the organization that should be finding solutions has no solutions.
     But that isn't the case.
     The CTBA has invested several years and several million dollars of its members' money in an ongoing test of a radical--even revolutionary--plan that holds the promise of completely reversing the slide toward disaster.
     A CTBA leader told me a few days ago in an e-mail that where it's in effect the pilot program "has elevated the value and demand for quality Cal-breds." Because lack of demand is the cause of the present peril and because California state law charges the CTBA with improving the quality of Cal-breds, the program sounds like the solution on all counts.
     But putting that successful program in place would be fiercely opposed by many breeders as well as, I believe, almost all CTBA directors, so it's unlikely ever to be done.
     It's been decades since the CTBA showed much, if any, leadership, and it's shown no discernible courage at all. Both of those are required at this critical time.
     The CTBA--and only the CTBA--holds the key to the door that could be opened to a new era of prosperity for California breeders. Now is the time--right now--for the CTBA to take the lead and make history by putting into effect the program that its own test has shown can produce the results necessary for the survival of the the breeders it represents.
     The mark of true leaders is the willingness and courage to take unpopular action when it's required, not to be controlled by the fears of their followers--or by their own fears. 
     The CTBA has already laid the foundation for the program that can bring salvation. Now it's time to build on it. 
     Now is the time for leadership. 

OCTOBER 18, 2008

     No other CTBA directors have offered their ideas for saving the California Thoroughbred breeding industry, but I didn't come up empty today.
     My copy of the October issue of California Thoroughbred arrived, and on page 1 I found what may be the most useful contribution yet to this discussion. It's an editorial by CTBA general manager Doug Burge, and it offers some pertinent observations and hints at possible solutions.
     Here is the relevant section of that editorial:

     ". . . it is vital that we stabilize the annual number of live foals, while continuing to strive to breed a better horse; one that can compete on the tough California racing circuit.
     "To do so, we must provide further incentive for those to invest in the breeding and development/racing of California-breds. While the $40 million Racing and Incentive Program in the state continues to be one of the leaders in the country, we do need to look at both more opportunities and perhaps a more creative approach to increase the financial return for breeders/owners of Cal-breds. These concerns have everyone's attention.
     "We continue to remind and educate the various racing executives as to the importance of Cal-breds to the racing cards offered daily and the impact that a declining foal crop will have in the future.
     "With that said, together with the Racing offices and the TOC (Thoroughbred Owners of California), we continue to explore ways by which we can expand the opportunities and financial return for state breds. Unfortunately, we are dealing with declining purse revenues and thus monies would need to be shifted in order to increase the pie available for Cal-breds.
     "We are also looking at various ways of possibly tweaking the incentive awards program in order to enhance the worth of Cal-breds. We took such action in the mid-90's which sparked the demand for Cal-breds and provided major boosts in quality production of foals, and increased opportunities and return at the track and sales ring. Due to rising costs of production and ownership, these positive trends have disappeared. It is time for economic adjustments to again jump start the industry. We will continue toward that goal."

     There are suggestions of a possible course of action encased in that editorial, which appears to be a tentative move toward serious action. I'm eager to hear more.

OCTOBER 17, 2008

     While we're waiting for the next contribution from a CTBA director, I've found something to provide a little diversion. Seems to me that the ancient art of the publicity stunt has fallen into disuse these days. Or maybe it's just gotten hard to tell the difference between real news and publicity stunts. 
     Anyway, the publicity stunt is alive and well, for sure. Click here for proof.

OCTOBER 16, 2008

     Another day has passed and the number of responses I've received from CTBA board members remains at three, plus two who have expressed concern to me in private e-mails without providing a response in a form that could be posted.
     I've posted responses from Dan Schiffer, John Harris, and William DeBurgh. Leigh Ann Howard and Sue Greene are the two who have sent me informal notes. I've heard nothing from board members Jeanne Canty, John Barr, Keith Card, Scoop Vessels, Dan Harralson, Will Nichols, Rosemary Neeb, Myron Johnson, Pete Parrella, and Don Cohn. Or from general manager Doug Burge.
     Of course, they have every right not to respond. They may even think that I'm impertinent, with no standing to be asking them to answer such a question. I am a CTBA member concerned with the future of the California Thoroughbred breeding industry and I have a website Notebook that some undetermined number of breeders read, but that's about it. That may give me the right to ask the question, but it doesn't obligate them to answer.
     One director did ask me whether I was asking the same question of TOC and other industry entities. But why would I do that if I'm asking what can be done to save the breeding industry? The CTBA has to take the lead. If it does, there'll be plenty of time to find out whether the others are ready to follow.
     However that may be, it finally comes down to these questions: 

     1. Does the present condition of the industry require remedial action?
     2. If so, does the CTBA have the power to do anything to make the situation better?
     3. If it has such power, how is it going to use it, and when?

     I'd just like some assurance that somebody is thinking about these things.

OCTOBER 15, 2008

    And another response from a CTBA board member, this one from past president John Harris:

     "Here are a few thoughts from me. 
     "I don't agree with Will that California land is too expensive. The problem is more the water availability on the good land. But San Joaquin Valley land with water can still be purchased at levels that are competitive with Kentucky. Better overall weather here and California can sure compete, if someone picks where they go carefully. Kentucky does have a much deeper pocket clientele (the Arabs, East Coast old/big money, etc), wonderful and very well developed farms with great heritages, plus a status as a world trading post for good horses. 
     "But the real problem is that the total horse racing industry is in a very serious financial crisis. We are dependent on revenue from a form of gaming that is expensive to stage, and a fan base that is aging, and younger potential  fans with little knowledge of horse racing. Plus the animal rights folks always have us to beat up on, as they think we are a cruel sport. Plus the media is mostly oblivious to horse racing and buy into the concept that it is not a sport unless it has a ball.
     "Every time some new concept comes up one or all of the various stakeholders first thought is "what's in it for me?" rather than if this is something that can help horse racing in general out of its malaise. 
     "I hate to say it, but I think racing has to downsize in California to remain at least somewhat viable. Horse owners and breeders simply cannot continue to take the losses that exist here now. I see fewer racing days, but more full card simulcasting to generate purse monies not paid out on dark days. Then more big festive, fun, well publicized days with exciting cards to generate fan support.  Plus better capitalization of ADW to increase wagering and revenues and get our sport into more homes and gathering places. 
     "I do think it important to maintain viable circuits both North and South, but they will be different than what we remember from the past. Not sure exactly how to get there, but we can't just go on as we have." 

     Those three are the only responses that I've received. I hope there'll be more, but maybe three out of 16 (15 directors plus Doug Burge) is better than it could have been.
     After all, I did ask a tough question. But a necessary one.

OCTOBER 14, 2008

     Here's another response to my question to CTBA directors (see October 12 entry below). It comes from board member William DeBurgh.

     "The breeding industry is contracting and will centralize in Kentucky, where land, water, feed and labor are plentiful along with very strong political support for their industry. All regional markets are going to continue to contract, even those with major racing such as California, Florida, New York and the Mid-Atlantic region. 
     "Over the past 47 years, since you became a CTBA member, California's population has grown enormously. As a consequence, much of the suitable land has been built on, take for example the area where Old English Ranch used to be and just think how many thoroughbred farms there were in that area 40 years ago that serviced Santa Anita and Hollywood Park. They are all gone because the land has been built on.
     "After the sale in Santa Rosa I spent some time looking at land in that area. Land with a good water supply is $100,000 per acre due to the wine industry. 
     "The economics of breeding horses in California are incredibly bad and they are not going to improve. Land cost, water, feed, labor are all way out of line to support breeding horses. In addition to this, the sons and daughters of many of our horsemen and women are not attracted to the breeding industry or the way of life that comes with running a horse farm. The likes of John Harris and John Mabee will not be replaced. It is simply too expensive and too difficult to operate farms of this scale.
     "Invariably we are going to have a much smaller racing industry in California and a much smaller breeding industry.
     "There will be less racing dates, less races and less horses running in the near future. We have an opportunity to reinvent our racing industry, an opportunity to create a product that that is better than what we have today. Less is more. Quality racing on the weekends, no on the expansion of Pomona, etc.
     "In my experience, the CTBA is a very hard-working group of people who are confronted with a very difficult situation. The CTBA spends most of its time defending the California Breeder's interests and trying to protect the breeder's piece of the pie.
     "What can or should the CTBA do about this? 
     "The CTBA must prepare for a much smaller racing and breeding industry in California.
     "The CTBA needs to study the thoroughbred marketing groups from the other breeding industries around the world who have made a great impact on their industries and succeeded in gaining significant government support. (We are a large employer. I estimate that each California-bred horse that makes it to the track supports a minimum of 3 employees.  We have done a very poor job of justifying to the state the importance of our industry, lose the horse breeding industry, the state loses a lot of payroll tax.
     "The CTBA has to be modernized to meet these challenges. This means a staff with the experience to help develop and manage a new marketing plan for the California breeding industry.
     "Please take a look at the three marketing groups web sites below.

http://www.nztm.co.nz/ http://www.itm.ie/http://www.aushorse.net.au/
     "All the best."

     To be continued, as other responses arrive.

OCTOBER 13, 2008

     Several CTBA directors have responded to my question (see entry below) saying that they are working on an answer. The only fully-developed response came from board member Dan Schiffer, a former CTBA president, as follows:

     "It would be wonderful if, as Don seems to suggest, that the CTBA is powerful enough to save the California breeding industry. However as we all know too well there are just way too many forces involved here. I think that our magazine staff should take this response and develop it into a full fledged editoial to be published in our magazine and placed on the website. We need to confront publicly what is going on and get this subject out in the open. We need to discuss what Kentucky is doing to benefit themselves to the detriment of the regional markets. We need to talk aboout how the philosophy of the TOC is pro- Kentucky and adverse to our interests. We need to state how we attempt to influence the players and how difficult it is to have any impact in these many arenas and areas. By doing so we can anticipate the arguments of Don (who I think hasn't owned a broodmare for some time) and the Michael Powers of our world who have plenty of ammunition to say things that are detracting about our industry and the CTBA. We need to anticipate the results of the October mixed sale, etc., etc. There is plenty of talk going on in various corners about what is going on (cf The Paulick Report), and we need to be proactive instead of just acting like nothing is wrong. It would be great if we could get people like Don to open up their pocketbooks and go to the October sale and buy a broodmare and invest in the California breeding industry but given what everyone, including Don, knows is going on how can you expect people to make that investment? My two-bits."

     I'll post other responses as they arrive.

OCTOBER 12, 2008

     Saturday morning I sent the following e-mail to each of the 15 members of the CTBA board of directors and to CTBA general manager Doug Burge:

     "I have been a CTBA member for 47 years, and I can't remember a time when the California breeding industry was in greater peril.
     "Prices and values are low and falling, breeders are dropping out, farms are closing.
     "Only the CTBA has the status and the resources to rescue our industry.
     "What is your plan?"

     I'll let you know what I learn.

OCTOBER 10, 2008

     The first major mixed sale of the fall has been completed, and the results are neither unexpected nor pretty.
     The average for 384 horses sold at the Ocala Breeders' Sales Company's fall mixed sale was $9,005, down 38.8 percent from last year's $14,711. The gross fell more, 64.9 percent, but a decline was inevitable, since 669 horses were sold in 2007, 285 more than were sold this year.
     The median dropped 40 percent, from $7,500 to $4,500. And buybacks increased from 40.5 percent to 46.4 percent as consignors failed to anticipate what was coming.
     The prospects for the Barretts mixed sale October 27 and 28 could hardly be worse. Let's hope that there are plenty of buyers from Mexico, South Korea, The Philippines and maybe someplace like the Fiji Islands.
     I can't imagine that most of the horses in that sale are going to find new homes in California.

OCTOBER 8, 2008

     Things are bad for California Thoroughbred breeders and likely to get worse, but at least we can a enjoy a brief schadenfreude moment by looking at the results of last weekend's Quarter Horse sale at Los Alamitos.
     The average price for the 368 yearlings sold was $16,026. In 2007, 302 sold for an average of $18,049. In 2006, 261 sold for an average of $23,816.
     That is a decline of 11.2 percent from last year and a decline of 32.7 percent from 2006. Last month's Barretts sale showed a 16.3-percent decline from last year and a decline of 34.2 percent from 2006.
     Pretty much the same.
     A receding tide strands all boats, and it looks like we're both trying to stay afloat on the same sagging tide.
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Read Don Engel's blog entries dated prior to July 2008